The worst-case scenario for the US general election may lead to a working class civil war

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In June we wrote that various types of far-right armed groups, often self-described as "civil guard" who are Trump's paramilitary section, have now come to the front line in order to secure Trump's second term at any cost. Even if it takes a civil war.

We estimated that in the worst-case scenario, Trump loses marginally and his "brigades" take action as they are forming a loony army, driven by racism, ultra-conservative ideas and far-right extreme conspiracy theories. And therefore, they will certainly question the result of the election in that case.

Yet, another, even worse scenario as it seems, came up lately. It has been analyzed by a DNC think tank also funded by Michael Bloomberg. As axios.com reported:

A top Democratic data and analytics firm told "Axios on HBO" it's highly likely that President Trump will appear to have won — potentially in a landslide — on election night, even if he ultimately loses when all the votes are counted.  [...] Way more Democrats will vote by mail than Republicans, due to fears of the coronavirus, and it will take days if not weeks to tally these. This means Trump, thanks to Republicans doing almost all of their voting in person, could hold big electoral college and popular vote leads on election night. Imagine America, with its polarization and misinformation, if the vote tally swings wildly toward Joe Biden and Trump loses days later as the mail ballots are counted. That is what this group, Hawkfish, which is funded by Michael Bloomberg and also does work for the Democratic National Committee and pro-Biden Super PACs, is warning is a very real, if not foreordained, outcome.

Indeed, this is the utter-terror scenario because there is no way that Trump and his "army" will accept the result. Kyle Kulinski almost terrified with the idea:

                         We have some degree of experience with this, right? Like remember the chaos that was the Iowa caucus where Bernie won the popular vote, but like state delegate elects, or whatever, somehow went to Pete [Buttigieg] and then there were questions about the app which was partially funded by Pete's campaign and he declared victory. I know how I felt in that situation as a Bernie supporter when they actually were trying to take it from us. Imagine how Trump and all Trump supporters are going to feel when it looks like they won in a landslide on election night.

                         As time goes by and more votes roll-in for Biden it's almost a foregone conclusion that Biden is going to win the popular vote. The question is by how many votes. But on election night it might even look like Trump won the popular vote. I really do fear what's gonna happen ... I mean we're already seeing complete social unrest tied to a variety of issues, police brutality, you know. What happens in a situation like this? The country is already on the bring of falling apart ...

Greg Palast gives an idea of how Trump's "brigades" will act:

                         Elections are not going to be determined on November 3rd. It's 4, 5, 6 ... 12, 13, 14, when the Boogaloo Boys and the Proud Boys start stopping the count, burning post offices because Roger Stone has told them that 100,000 ballots have been mailed in from Venezuela ...

How did the US got into this mess?

As the Left almost "evaporated" in previous decades, the capitalist class had taken over the entire political system through the neoliberal doctrine. All these decades we witnessed a culminating deterioration of the democratic institutions (in the US and the capitalist West), as the markets substituted the need for a regulative state that would work for the benefit of the many. And this idea was essentially dictated upon societies through a cultural totalitarianism.

The deterioration of the democratic institutions included the electoral fraud and gradually societies were starting to lose faith on those institutions.

So, when the neoliberal facade essentially collapsed in 2008 with the financial meltdown, the real trouble begun.

As we wrote previously, the aggressiveness of the Western investment capital, the banking cartels and the corporate monopolies, gradually generated significant centrifugal forces inside the global capitalist system. The neoliberal ideology itself enhanced these forces, as deeply in its roots lies a perception of an impossible endless growth and uninterrupted ruthless competition. These forces, both inside and outside the Western capitalist system, had started to become evident mostly from the late 90s and after, as neoliberal capitalism had already triggered major crises in Russia, South-East Asia and elsewhere.

It was a matter of time to see a major crisis, comparable to that of 1929, inside the heart of neoliberal capitalism. The big meltdown of 2007-08 in the United States fully unleashed the centrifugal forces inside the Western capitalist system, and revealed a merciless endo-capitalist war, which had been already brewing underground in previous years.

The two major events as a result of this war, were the rise of Donald Trump and the Brexit vote. Both in the motherlands of neoliberalism.

What we see now in the United States with Trump, is a counter-attack by the part of the American capital against the globalist faction. The faction that is primarily consisted by the liberal plutocracy. Therefore, as the capitalist class splits, the capitalists around Trump are now taking with them the most conservative part of the American society, as they need electoral power. They have the money and their own media network. Their first big victory was Trump in the US presidency and this explains why the liberal media attack him so hard and so frequently.

Conservative voters was a very convenient group for Trump's capitalist faction because Trump could easily turn them against immigrants and Leftists, instead of pointing out the root of the problem, which is the capitalist system itself.

At the same time, Trump cleverly personalized attacks against key figures of the liberal plutocracy. And therefore, he managed to turn voters against the globalist faction of the US capital, not the entire capitalist system. The entire conspiracy production machine of the alt-right media prepared the ground in previous years by brainwashing millions of Americans with some extreme conspiracy theories. These theories turned them against not only the liberal establishment and the Left, but also against the already degenerated democratic institutions themselves.

And naturally, the liberal establishment welcomed the attacks against the Left because the Left made some attempts to rebound and assert political power.

So, we have come now to the point where all these far-right militia groups together with a significant part of the US police force are forming this loony army of Trump defenders.

Now, put yourself in the position of an average Trump voter. With the complete collapse of the establishment's legitimacy facade, what would they think about such a scenario when they see where it comes from? Even if it's quite possible to happen, and the analysis is honest, they will think that this is just an "exercise" by the establishment to take power from Trump, even if he wins. Well, who can blame them?

All these crises of the last two decades revealed more and more clearly this merciless war among the capitalists. As these have the real power with the big money and the big media, this war not only overshadows every effort for a real alternative against the capitalist system. It even brutally crushes every attempt for a democratic revival. The rampageous bulls of capitalism are fighting each other in an arena in which democracy has now turned into dust under their violent clatters.

And under these circumstances, the capitalists won't hesitate to throw in the arena the expendable US working class. To fight on their behalf in an equally merciless civil war ...