Skip to main content

Spanish elections: First scenarios about possible coalitions

globinfo freexchange

The exit polls suggest that no party has won an overall majority at Spain's general election. If the exit polls are right, PP and PSOE will have come in on forecast, Podemos will have done better and Ciudadanos worse. 176 seats in the Spanish Congress are required for an overall majority.

Parties
Min./Max. Seats
Coalition?
PSOE + Ciudadanos + Podemos
(79–85) + (46–50) + (70-80) = (195–215)
Possible on both lower and higher figures.
PP + PSOE
(114–124) + (79–85) = (193–209)
Possible on both lower and higher figures.
PP + Ciudadanos
(114–124) + (46–50) = (160–174)
Not possible.
PSOE + Ciudadanos
(79–85) + (46–50) = (125–135)
Not possible.
PSOE + Podemos
(79–85) + (70-80) = (149–165)
Not possible.

More scenarios:


Not good news.

Prediction: Popular Right and Socialists will form a coalition to pass all the catastrophic neoliberal measures as the European Financial Dictatorship wants.

Update: 30% of votes: Podemos surpass 1,000,000 votes, currently translated to 42 seats. 

Update: With more than 60% of the votes counted, here’s how it’s looking:

 

Partido Popular: 124

PSOE (Socialists): 95

Podemos: 69

Ciudadanos: 33

 

http://www.theguardian.com/ 

 

Update: With more than 75% of the votes counted, here’s how it’s looking:

 

Partido Popular: 123

PSOE (Socialists): 93

Podemos: 68

Ciudadanos: 37

 

http://www.theguardian.com/ 

 

Update: With almost all votes counted: 

Popular Party (PP): 122 seats

Socialists: 91 seats 

Podemos: 69 seats

Ciudadanos: 40 seats

 

http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-35146745

 

Update:


With 99% of the votes counted on Sunday night, the PP was on track to receive 123 seats, leaving it shy of a majority in the 350-seat legislature. Led by Mariano Rajoy, the current prime minister, it earned 29% of the vote and won only two-thirds the number of seats it took in 2011.
 

The Socialists, who asserted throughout the campaign that they were best placed to rival the conservatives, came in second, with 90 seats and 22% of the vote.

The leftwing anti-austerity party Podemos was next with 69 seats and 21% of the vote, while Ciudadanos was on track to win 40 seats and 14% of the vote. The results suggest that Podemos capitalised on the campaign to gain votes and that pollsters underestimated its appeal while overestimating that of Ciudadanos.


http://www.theguardian.com/world/2015/dec/20/peoples-party-wins-spanish-election-absolute-majority

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Why are Israeli war criminals hiding out in Patagonia?

The Grayzone   The Grayzone 's Oscar Leon examines reports of Israeli veterans of Gaza hiding out in the Patagonia region of Argentina, a country governed by a hardcore supporter of Israel who has forged close ties to messianic networks and the government of Benjamin Netanyahu. To place the issue in a wider context, Leon spoke to veteran Argentine journalist Sebastian Salgado, and Santiago Cuneo, a former boss of Milei and now one of his fiercest opponents. 

BRICS expands to majority of world population: Vietnam joins, USA fails to divide China & Vietnam

Geopolitical Economy Report   BRICS has expanded to 20 countries - 10 members and 10 partners - after adding Vietnam. BRICS+ now makes up 43.93% of world GDP (PPP) and 55.61% of the global population. Ben Norton explains how the US failed to divide China and Vietnam in the Second Cold War. 

Funcionario de Trump: el director de la CIA “toma dictado” del Mossad sobre Irán

Un funcionario de la administración Trump le cuenta a The Grayzone que el Mossad israelí está usando al director de la CIA, John Ratcliffe y al jefe del CENTCOM, general Michael Kurilla, para influenciar a Trump con inteligencia manipulada sobre el programa nuclear iraní. Dentro de la Casa Blanca, los disidentes han sido aislados, preparando el terrenno para una guerra de cambio de régimen que pudiera costar vidas estadounidenses.   Max Blumenthal and Anya Parampil  Parte 4 - La jefa de gabinete aísla a Trump con “el general favorito de Israel”   El funcionario de la administración le contó a The Grayzone que la jefa de gabinete de la Casa Blanca, Suzie Wiles, se aseguró de que el presidente permaneciera rodeado por Ratcliffe y el general Michael Kurilla en los briefings relacionados con Irán. Se dice que Ratcliffe toma dictado del Mossad y lee los documentos que ellos prepararon al presidente sin ningún sentido de desapego crítico, o revelar que las valoraciones provinie...

Trump Welcomed a War Criminal to the White House

Senator Bernie Sanders   Benjamin Netanyahu has been indicted as a war criminal. His government is systematically killing and starving the people of Gaza. He will be remembered as one of the monsters of modern history. And Trump welcomed him to the White House.  

As Trump threatens BRICS, it grows stronger, resisting US dollar and Western imperialism

Geopolitical Economy Report   US President Donald Trump has threatened heavy tariffs on BRICS, claiming the organization is "dead", but it is actually growing in size and influence. 10 members and 10 partners participated in the 2025 BRICS summit in Brazil, where they discussed plans for dedollarization, trade and investment in national currencies, and how to create a more multipolar global order. Ben Norton explains.     Related:   Trump's tariffs: A unique opportunity for BRICS and the Global South to fully escape from dollar tyranny

SHOCKING Outburst in EU Parliament: ‘Isráel Must Be Held Accountable!

The Africa News Network  

Israel is responsible for one of the cruelest genocides in modern history

UN Palestinian Rights Committee   In her address to the Human Rights Council on 3 July 2025, Francesca Albanese, the UN Special Rapporteur on the situation of human rights in the Palestinian territories occupied since 1967, warned of a genocide unfolding in Gaza and the West Bank.    She described the situation as “apocalyptic,” stating that “Israel is responsible for one of the cruelest genocides in modern history.”    With over 200,000 Palestinians reported killed or injured and the real toll “far higher,” she accused Israel of dismantling humanitarian aid in Gaza, replacing it with a “so-called 'Gaza Humanitarian Foundation' [that] is nothing else than a death trap.”    She emphasized that this was not an isolated crisis but part of a decades-long “settler colonial project of erasure” that has intensified in recent months through military force, starvation, and mass displacement. Albanese condemned the deep complicity of corporate and state actors i...

Jeremy Corbyn: Gaza, Nuclear War & Why Movements Must Rise Now

Empire Files   Abby Martin sits down with MP Jeremy Corbyn in Bogotá during The Hague Group summit on Gaza. They discuss the limits of electoral politics, the danger of nuclear weapons, the central role of the US and UK in the Gaza genocide, and more.  

US gov't is very afraid of BRICS and dedollarization, Trump insiders reveal

Geopolitical Economy Report   Close Donald Trump allies like Steve Bannon say "the president is pissed every time he looks at the BRICS de-dollarization effort". The US government fears the Global South's challenge to the exorbitant privilege of the dollar. Trump is trying to make an example out of Brazil, threatening high tariffs to punish Lula da Silva, who promotes a multipolar world and a new global reserve currency. Ben Norton explains.     Related:   Trump's tariffs: A unique opportunity for BRICS and the Global South to fully escape from dollar tyranny 

Israel Guilty Of SYSTEMATIC Sexual Violence Against Palestinians! – U.N. Confirms

The Jimmy Dore Show   A recent UN report titled "More Than a Human Can Bear" details systematic sexual and gender-based violence committed by Israeli forces and settlers against Palestinians since October 7. The report documents harrowing accounts of abuse, including rape, torture, and sexual humiliation of detainees—both men and women—by Israeli military and prison personnel. As Jimmy Dore points out, despite extensive evidence and testimonies, U.S. media and political figures have largely ignored or downplayed these findings, while continuing to repeat debunked claims about Hamas.