Skip to main content

Who believes Erdogan?

An estimation about the recent Turkish invasion in North Syria


It's hard for someone to believe that the Turkish ground forces invaded North Syria to fight ISIS. It seems that the US officials decided to calm down Tayyip Erdoğan and let him play his game for a while, in order to make him forget Fethullah Gülen and the failed coup of July.

Obama doesn't want to risk further with the unpredictable Turkish leader, especially after he showed that he may turn to Putin. Obama also wants to leave without risking further mess in the Middle East chaotic puzzle. He will leave the "hot potato" to the hands of the next US presidency.

Erdoğan knows that he has limited time before Clinton or Trump in the US presidency. Therefore, he tries to take as much as he can and negotiate from a power position when the Syrian hell will end someday.

Right now, Erdoğan's main concern is to retain his agenda, thus exploit the chaos in Syria to enhance the Syrian Turkomans and fulfill his dreams for territorial and influential expansion in the wider Middle East. This explains why Turkey demanded YPG Kurdish forces to retreat back to the east of the Euphrates. Through this move, he tries to maintain an open corridor between Turkey and Syrian Turkomans, but also, to sabotage the Kurdish attempt for an autonomous entity in North Syria.

Meanwhile, it seems that everyone forgot Assad, or, at least accepted him as an intermediate necessity before the final redrawing of the Syrian map. Therefore, all the key players try to focus on their agendas.

For this reason, it is unlikely that the US will abandon Kurds and the plan for a Kurdish state because they have invested so much in this perspective all the past years. While Obama wants to leave quietly without further trouble, it is almost certain that the next US president will not abandon these plans so easily, just for the sake of Erdoğan.

Read also:


Comments

  1. Unknown30/8/16 10:33

    Get ready for more war coming to the middle east and a major war between Russia and the USA as I am sure Russia does not want this war in Syria to become the battle field but the US and its supporters will keep the flames alight.

    ReplyDelete

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Zionists pushed Trump into the war with Iran but this was not the primary reason for this catastrophic decision

by system failure     It is widely reported by various analysts that Trump's catastrophic decision to start a war with Iran, came as a result of the pressure from Netanyahu regime and the Zionist lobby in US. While we can't ignore the strong influence of the Zionist factor on Trump and its significant role on dragging him into such a catastrophe, this was probably not the primary reason for the latest US-Iran war.  One has to look first at Venezuela and the unprecedented and rather bizarre operation there to remove Nicolas Maduro from power, in order to understand the deeper reasoning behind such a risky decision by Trump against Iran. The uniqueness of the operation in Venezuela by the US imperialist beast, has to do not only with the blatant violation of international law with almost zero pretexts, but also with the fact that the rest of the Maduro administration was left untouched and permitted to remain in power. This shows that the primary goal of this operation was ...
Post a Comment
Read more

Προβλέψεις ...

GR elections Update (15/9): Αναθεωρημένες προβλέψεις (μετά το δεύτερο debate): ΣΥΡΙΖΑ 28-30% ΛΑΕ + ΣΧΕΔΙΟ Β' κ.λ.π. 20-23% ΝΔ 11-13% ΧΑ 6-8% ΚΚΕ 5-5,5% ΕΝΩΣΗ ΚΕΝΤΡΩΩΝ 2,5-3% ΠΟΤΑΜΙ 2,5-3,5% ΠΑΣΟΚ + ΔΗΜΑΡ 3-4% ΑΝΕΛ 2,5-3,5% Update (11/9): Αναθεωρημένες προβλέψεις (μετά το πρώτο debate): ΣΥΡΙΖΑ 25-28% ΛΑΕ + ΣΧΕΔΙΟ Β' κ.λ.π. 20-23% ΝΔ 11-13% ΧΑ 6-8% ΚΚΕ 5-5,5% ΕΝΩΣΗ ΚΕΝΤΡΩΩΝ 3,5-4% ΠΟΤΑΜΙ 2,5-3,5% ΠΑΣΟΚ + ΔΗΜΑΡ 3-4% ΑΝΕΛ 2,5-3,5% Update (04/9): Αναθεωρημένες προβλέψεις: ΣΥΡΙΖΑ 23-25% ΛΑΕ + ΣΧΕΔΙΟ Β' κ.λ.π. 20-23% ΝΔ 12-15% ΧΑ 6-8% ΚΚΕ 5-5,5% ΕΝΩΣΗ ΚΕΝΤΡΩΩΝ 3,5-4% ΠΟΤΑΜΙ 2,5-3,5% ΠΑΣΟΚ 3-4% ΑΝΕΛ 2,5-3,5% Update (29/8): Αναθεωρημένες προβλέψεις: ΣΥΡΙΖΑ 23-25% ΛΑΕ + ΣΧΕΔΙΟ Β' κ.λ.π. 20-23% ΝΔ 12-15% ΧΑ 6-8% ΚΚΕ 5-5,5% ΕΝΩΣΗ ΚΕΝΤΡΩΩΝ 4-4,5% ΠΟΤΑΜΙ 4-4,5% ΠΑΣΟΚ 3-4% ΑΝΕΛ 2,5-3,5% Update : Αναθεωρημένες προβλέψεις: ΣΥΡΙΖΑ 26-27% ...
24 comments
Read more

Trump CAVES On Uranium & Ballistic Missiles!

The Jimmy Dore Show   Jimmy Dore and Glenn Greenwald argue that President Trump is engaging in a stark retreat from earlier hardline positions on Iran by signaling acceptance of both Iranian uranium enrichment for civilian energy purposes and allowing Iran to possess conventional ballistic missiles. The two contend that these comments amount to major concessions, with Jimmy describing them as “another big win for Iran” and evidence that the administration has abandoned key objectives it previously promoted. Greenwald cites the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, arguing that Iran has the same right as other signatory nations to enrich uranium for peaceful purposes and notes that previous agreements imposed unusually strict inspections on Iran’s program. The segment emphasizes Trump’s remarks that “it’s a little bit unfair for them not to have some” ballistic missiles and that restrictions on civilian nuclear energy require “a little common sense.” 
Post a Comment
Read more

Israeli Military Analyst: IDF "Lost & D*ing In Great Numbers" in Lebanon

Katie Halper   Haim Bresheeth Zabner, ex Israeli military analyst explains why Hezbollah is so superior to the IDF. He says, "the IDF are lost and dying in great numbers in Lebanon. He also notes that Hezbollah are "amazing fighters". Haim Bresheeth Zabnner was Professor of Media and Cultural Studies at University of East London and then a Professorial Research Associate at the School of Oriental and African Studies (SOAS).He is Filmmaker, photographer, film studies scholar, and historian. His films include “A State of Danger,” a documentary on the first Palestinian Intifada. His books include "An Army Like No Other: How the Israel Defense Force Made a Nation."    Haim is the son of two Holocaust survivors and was raised in Israel. He is a member of Holocaust survivors and Descendents Against the Genocide and a founding member of Jewish Network for Palestine. On November 4, Haim was arrested over a speech he gave at a pro Palestine demonstration outside the res...
Post a Comment
Read more

Όσοι περνάν των χώρα της απόγνωσης παθαίνουν αμνησία ...

globinfo freexchange Δανειστήκαμε αυτή τη φράση από ένα παλιό κομμάτι της Ελληνικής ροκ μπάντας "Τρύπες", για να περιγράψουμε με λίγα λόγια αυτό που φαίνεται να έχει πάθει η Ελληνική κοινωνία.  Πώς είναι δυνατόν μια ολόκληρη κοινωνία να έχει ξεχάσει ποιοι τη χρεοκόπησαν; Ποιοι έστησαν το άθλιο σύστημα των κρατικοδίαιτων 'ημέτερων' και της οικογενειοκρατίας; Ποιοι έσωσαν τις τράπεζες με πακτωλό δισεκατομμυρίων σε βάρος της μεσαίας τάξης; Ποιοι έκαναν τη μίζα και το ρουσφέτι επάγγελμα; Πώς είναι δυνατόν αυτή η κοινωνία να ετοιμάζεται να ξαναφέρει στην εξουσία ένα κομμάτι αυτού του άθλιου πολιτικού κατεστημένου, με την επιστροφή μάλιστα του αμετανόητα νεοφιλελεύθερου Κυριάκου Μητσοτάκη και της ομάδας του;   Η απόγνωση που έφεραν εννέα χρόνια βάρβαρων νεοφιλελεύθερων πολιτικών και σκληρής λιτότητας και που ανάγκασε τη χώρα να διαβεί τον εφιαλτικό μονόδρομο της μόνιμης χρεοκοπίας, πρέπει να έπαιξε σημαντικό ρόλο.  Διότι ως γνωστόν, η απελπισία...
2 comments
Read more

It's official: Iran won the war, and the US lost - This is how

Geopolitical Economy Report  The US government has signed an agreement to end its war on Iran. It is now widely admitted that Washington lost, and Tehran won. Ben Norton explains why Donald Trump failed, and how this has massive geopolitical implications for the Global South.
Post a Comment
Read more

How Western societies lost their faith in Vision

Why people don't rise up massively today? Why there are no real revolutions? How we tolerate all things that have been imposed to us? These questions come up in people's minds more and more often today in Greece and abroad, due to the economic crisis. Some theories are circulated as an answer, among these, explanations which include, for example, the psychosynthesis of modern Greeks, but the truth is that there is something more fundamental behind this passive behaviour and concerns not only Greece, but the entire Western world. by system failure Prior to the beginning of the 20th century, Friedrich Nietzsche declares God's death and Western world will put all its hopes in science. Laplace's Determinism leads to the almighty man, who through science, can find all the answers for the world. Technology, which naturally comes from scientific discoveries, promises prosperity and a better life for the majority. Science becomes the central "pylon...
18 comments
Read more

IRAN WAR: How Israel HIJACKED Trump & Lost the Middle East

Double Down News  
Post a Comment
Read more

Maggie's ghost: What is haunting Europe

by system failure "A ghost is haunting Europe — the ghost of Communism", Marx wrote in the Communist Manifesto, in 1847. He couldn't probably predict that the ghost above Europe in 2013, would have been totally different. Thatcher's dogmatic faith in free market, in minimizing state's presence, was a basic characteristic of her political perception. One could wonder, why the "Iron Lady" silenced in front of the facts during last decade, especially after the global economic crisis. Is it because of her age? Was she believed in the routine motto that "this is just a capitalism's cycle and will recover soon"? Or is it because she finally understood, rather late, that this was not an ideal model of the free market, but the prevail of a peculiar bank-debtocracy? Margaret Thatcher, is a characteristic case of a politician, who's fanatic faith in a specific perception, wouldn't let her see the real picture, what was this per...
15 comments
Read more

Already happens: Capitalism destroys human labor force and goes to the next phase

by system failure Connecting the dots one can discover the most nightmarish scenarios. Destructive capitalism's next phase is the total substitution of the human labor force with robotic machines, or in other words, the hyper-automatization. There is a process taking place right now, and no one (or nearly no one) knows what would happen after its completion. The true picture behind unemployment From a latest article in PressTV: “ Did you know that there are nearly 102 million working age Americans that do not have a job right now? And 20 percent of all families in the United States do not have a single member that is employed. So how in the world can the government claim that the unemployment rate has “dropped” to '6.3 percent'?” “ Well, it all comes down to how you define who is 'unemployed'. For example, last month the government moved another 988,000 Americans into the 'not in the labor force' category.” http://www.presstv.ir/detail...
14 comments
Read more