Take
what you can and run: US and Russia anxious to take their European
"rewards" in Cold War 2.0
by system
failure
If history
indeed repeats itself, even "as farce", we could witness an
altered version of what has been decided by the winners after the end
of the WWII, and, right before the start of the Cold War 1.0.
During the
Yalta Conference, Franklin D. Roosevelt, Winston Churchill and Joseph
Stalin, effectively decided how they should shape their spheres of
influence in Europe. They agreed, for example, that Greece would have
to be included in the Western sphere of influence, while Bulgaria, in
the Soviet one.
Today, we
may see a similar scenario during the ongoing global economic war.
Some of the roles have changed. In today's multipolar world, Russia
does not represent the Communist ideology, USA is not the superpower
that it used to be, and Britain could only be in a position to choose
camp rather than to be a global player, as it was in the past.
The global
neoliberal dictatorship, represented by the biggest corporate and
banking cartels, will do anything to prevent a disastrous Brexit, or,
Grexit scenario because they are trying to build a new world order
through the dissolution of nation-states, to secure their interests
in the era of technological and financial globalization. However,
their basic tools, like the ECB and the IMF, are making big mistakes
due to their anxiety to impose the most catastrophic neoliberal
policies, especially in the eurozone. They managed to wake up
anti-European emotions in many countries. Day by day, more Europeans
discover the image of a repulsive Europe.
It is
remarkable that Cameron was showing Greece to the voters, in
pre-election speeches, as an example of what the European "empire"
could do to Britain, and promised a referendum for the people to
decide whether Britain should stay in the EU. Yet, ideologically he
is actually identical to the ruling political class in Brussels and
Berlin. His government is about to destroy what was left from the
social state in Britain and implement the most cruel austerity
policies.
Cameron will
probably be forced to retreat on his promise to Britons under the
pressure of the global elites (maggies-ghost-returns-to-britain)
but under these circumstances, an "accident" for their
plans would not be impossible to happen. According to an alternative
scenario, both Brexit and Grexit become a fact.
As Britain
senses that lost its role in the German-dominated European empire, it
would be happy to leave and return permanently to its "physical"
ally, the US. The relations between the US and Germany are probably
in the worst position after decades
(us-cuts-spying-cooperation-with-germany
, who-is-considered-ostensible-ally-by-us),
and the US are also unhappy with the German domination in the
economic level because it sets in danger a unified Europe who serves
their interests. In case they could not prevent Brexit, they will
compromise with what they can take: an old, traditional and faithful
ally in the new Cold War, maintaining much of their military presence
in Europe.
On the other
hand, the German political elite and the eurocrats play with fire, as
they blackmail the economically devastated Greece, insisting on the
same neoliberal policies that ruined the country. Greece may be
forced to escape the eurozone prison and return to national currency
in order to survive. The Russians will not waste the chance. They
will offer an alternative through BRICS
(evolving-fast-greece-closer-to-brics),
and grab the opportunity for geopolitical expansion in the East
Mediterranean, mainly through the game of the pipelines
(fresh-smart-moves-by-putin-in).
The Russians
already "put foot" in the East Mediterranean
(mission-accomplished-russians-put-foot),
while recently, the Russian together with the Chinese fleet made a
power demonstration during common drills in Mediterranean
(china-russia-drill-in-mediterranean).
In case of Grexit, Greece could slip towards the Sino-Russian sphere
of influence.
In the
middle of all this situation, Germany could see Europe torn apart.
The Germans make the same mistake again and again. They tried to
prevail through an economic war this time, using their economic
superiority. Obviously, they underestimated the new conditions in the
global multipolar world and became overconfident on their power for
one more time.
The new
"sharing" of Europe, in case of Grexit/Brexit, will be
quite different this time. It will not come after an agreement
between superpowers, as it happened in 1945. It will rather come in
terms of "take what you can and run". Moreover, it will not
come after the end of a world war. It will come in the middle of an
economic war and a new cold war. All these facts, make the "sharing"
process much more dangerous.
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