Skip to main content

First predictions for the snap elections in Greece

Greek elections

globinfo freexchange

First predictions for the snap elections in Greece have started already. According to the German newspaper Bild, SYRIZA appears with heavy losses with a percentage of 28%. Close to SYRIZA is the right-Wing New Democracy with 25% (little less than 3% lower than in previous elections) and the new Popular Unity party that came from the split of SYRIZA, appears to gather 8% of the votes.

All first polls show significant losses for Alexis Tsipras and SYRIZA. In the last few days, many members of the party have resigned and Tsipras has to deal also with the internal crisis in his party after the split according to the plan B of the Brussels bureaufascists.

Most of the early predictions give Lafazanis' Popular Unity a percentage of 7-8%, while SYRIZA's partners in the coalition government, Independent Greeks, struggle to reach the crucial 3% to enter the new parliament.

In any case, the split of SYRIZA creates an even more complex political landscape in Greece, which may lead to increasing political instability as the differences between the various political formations appear more difficult than ever to be covered.

This is something that the Brussels-Berlin axis officials may exploit and proceed in the plan C, according to which, unelected puppets like Papademos and Monti will take the power to implement all the measures of the Greek experiment. Their man, Governor of the Bank of Greece, Yannis Stournaras, is waiting ...

Below, you can check some first predictions by our blog. At this point of course, we don't need to say that we may fall very far from the final results. Anyway, you may freely write your own predictions in the comments if you like.

SYRIZA 26-27%
Popular Unity + Plan B + ANTARSYA etc. 22-23%
Νew Democracy 14-15%
Golden Dawn 9-10%
Greek Communist Party 5-5.5%
Union of Centrists 4-4.5%
River 4-4.5%
PASOK + Movement of Democratic Socialists 3.5-4%
Independent Greeks 2.5-3.5%

Update (29/8):

SYRIZA 23-25%
Popular Unity + Plan B etc. 20-23%
Νew Democracy 12-15%
Golden Dawn 6-8%
Greek Communist Party 5-5.5%
Union of Centrists 4-4.5%
River 4-4,5%
PASOK 3-4%
Independent Greeks 2.5-3.5%

Update (04/9):

SYRIZA 23-25%
Popular Unity + Plan B etc. 20-23%
Νew Democracy 12-15%
Golden Dawn 6-8%
Greek Communist Party 5-5.5%
Union of Centrists 3.5-4%
River 2.5-3.5%
PASOK 3-4%
Independent Greeks 2.5-3.5%

Update (11/9): [After the first debate]

SYRIZA 25-28%
Popular Unity + Plan B etc. 20-23%
Νew Democracy 11-13%
Golden Dawn 6-8%
Greek Communist Party 5-5.5%
Union of Centrists 3.5-4%
River 2.5-3.5%
PASOK + DIMAR 3-4%
Independent Greeks 2.5-3.5%

Update (15/9): [After the second debate]

SYRIZA 28-30%
Popular Unity + Plan B etc. 20-23%
Νew Democracy 11-13%
Golden Dawn 6-8%
Greek Communist Party 5-5.5%
Union of Centrists 2.5-3%
River 2.5-3.5%
PASOK + DIMAR 3-4%
Independent Greeks 2.5-3.5%
______________________________________________________________________________

OTHER POLLS (updated frequently) :

Update:  Another secret poll:

SYRIZA 34.5%
Popular Unity + Plan B + ANTARSYA etc. 6%
Νew Democracy 23.1%
Golden Dawn 5.9%
Greek Communist Party 4.7%
River 4.8%
PASOK 2.8%
Independent Greeks 3.1%  [Source: http://olympia.gr/]

Update: A new poll by the INTERVIEW company for Vergina TV gives:

SYRIZA 24%
Popular Unity + Plan B + ANTARSYA etc. 4.5%
Νew Democracy 22%
Golden Dawn 6%
Greek Communist Party 4.5%
Union of Centrists 4%
River 5.5%
PASOK 4.5%
Independent Greeks 3.5% [Source: http://www.newsbomb.gr/]

Update: A new poll by the ProRata for the Newspaper of the Editors (efsyn) gives:

SYRIZA 23%
Popular Unity + Plan B + ANTARSYA etc. 3.5%
Νew Democracy 19.5%
Golden Dawn 6.5%
Greek Communist Party 5%
River 4%
PASOK 4.5%
undecided / didn't answer 25.5% [Source: http://www.efsyn.gr/]
 
Update: Poll by the Metron Analysis for the newspaper Parapolitika gives:

SYRIZA 22.2%
Popular Unity + Plan B + ANTARSYA etc. 3.1%
Νew Democracy 21.2%
Golden Dawn 6.4%
Greek Communist Party 5%
Union of Centrists 3.8%
River 4.5%
PASOK 4.1%
Independent Greeks 1.7%
Unidentified vote 11.2% [Source: http://tvxs.gr/]

Update: Poll by the University of Macedonia for skai TV gives:

SYRIZA 25%
Popular Unity + Plan B + ANTARSYA etc. 5%
Νew Democracy 22%
Golden Dawn 5.5%
Greek Communist Party 6%
Union of Centrists 4.5%
River 6%
PASOK 4.5%
Independent Greeks 2%
Other 5%
undecided / didn't answer 14.5% [Source: http://www.skai.gr/]

Update: Poll by the MARC company for Alpha TV gives:

SYRIZA 25.3%
Popular Unity + Plan B + ANTARSYA etc. 3.8%
Νew Democracy 23.2%
Golden Dawn 5.5%
Greek Communist Party 4.2%
Union of Centrists 3.8%
River 5.8%
PASOK 4.4%
Independent Greeks 3%
Unidentified vote 18.8% [Source: http://www.sportdog.gr/]

Update: Poll by the think tank Bridging Europe gives:

SYRIZA 26.8%
Popular Unity + Plan B + ANTARSYA etc. 6.1%
Νew Democracy 18.3%
Golden Dawn 5.9%
Greek Communist Party 5.8%
Union of Centrists 2.6%
River 6.2%
PASOK 2.9%
Independent Greeks 2.4%
Other 3.2%
undecided / didn't answer 19.8%
[Source: http://www.bridgingeurope.net/]

Update: Poll by the MRB for the newspaper Agora gives:

SYRIZA 24.6%
Popular Unity + Plan B etc. 4.2%
Νew Democracy 22.8%
Golden Dawn 6.2%
Greek Communist Party 4.7%
Union of Centrists 4.7%
River 5.6%
PASOK 3.9%
Independent Greeks 2.3%
Other 4.1%
Unidentified vote 16.9% [Source: http://tvxs.gr/]

Update: Poll by the Pulse RC  for the newspaper To Pontiki gives:

SYRIZA 25.5%
Popular Unity + Plan B etc. 4.5%
Νew Democracy 25%
Golden Dawn 6%
Greek Communist Party 5%
Union of Centrists 3.5%
River 5%
PASOK 5.5%
Independent Greeks 2.5%
Other 2%
undecided / didn't answer 10.5% [Source: http://news247.gr/

Update: Poll by Metron Analysis for the newspaper Parapolitika gives:

SYRIZA 23.4%
Popular Unity + Plan B etc. 3.4%
Νew Democracy 24%
Golden Dawn 5.1%
Greek Communist Party 5.2%
Union of Centrists 4%
River 4.8%
PASOK 4%
Independent Greeks 2%
Unidentified vote 11.3% [Source: http://tvxs.gr/]

Update: New Poll by the think tank Bridging Europe gives:

SYRIZA 26.9%
Popular Unity + Plan B etc. 6.2%
Νew Democracy 19.8%
Golden Dawn 6.1%
Greek Communist Party 5.6%
Union of Centrists 2.4%
River 5.9%
PASOK 3.1%
Independent Greeks 2%
Other 4.6%
undecided / didn't answer 17.4% [Source:http://www.bridgingeurope.net/]

Update: Poll by MRB for Star Channel gives:

SYRIZA 25.1%
Popular Unity + Plan B etc. 3.6%
Νew Democracy 25.1%
Golden Dawn 6%
Greek Communist Party 5%
Union of Centrists 3.9%
River 4.6%
PASOK 5.2%
Independent Greeks 2.3%
Other 4%
Unidentified vote 15% [Source: http://tvxs.gr/]

Update: Poll by newsit.gr + Alco gives:

SYRIZA 24.8%
Popular Unity + Plan B etc. 4.2%
Νew Democracy 24.4%
Golden Dawn 6.6%
Greek Communist Party 5.9%
Union of Centrists 3.9%
River 4.7%
PASOK 4.5%
Independent Greeks 2.2%
Other 3.8%
undecided 15% [Source: http://www.newsit.gr/]

Update: Poll by Pulse for bankingnews.gr gives:

SYRIZA 27%
Popular Unity + Plan B + ANTARSYA etc. 4%
Νew Democracy 26.5%
Golden Dawn 6.5%
Greek Communist Party 5.5%
Union of Centrists 4%
River 5.5%
PASOK-DIMAR 6%
Independent Greeks 2.5%
ANTARSYA 1%
Other 1.5%
undecided / didn't answer 10% [Source: http://bankingnews.gr/]

Update: Poll by ProRata for the Newspaper of the Editors (efsyn) gives:

SYRIZA 28.5%
Popular Unity + Plan B + ANTARSYA etc. 2.5%
Νew Democracy 23.5%
Golden Dawn 6.5%
Greek Communist Party 4.5%
Union of Centrists 3.5%
River 4%
PASOK 4.5%
Independent Greeks 2.5%
Other 2.5%
undecided / didn't answer 17.5% [Source: http://tvxs.gr/]

Update: Poll by Metron Analysis for the TV channel ANT1 gives:

SYRIZA 24.6%
Popular Unity + Plan B etc. 3%
Νew Democracy 24.6%
Golden Dawn 5.6%
Greek Communist Party 4.8%
Union of Centrists 3%
River 4.6%
PASOK + DIMAR 4.2%
Independent Greeks 2.3%
undecided / didn't answer 9.1% [Source: http://tvxs.gr/]

Comments

  1. that seems overly optimistic on Popular Unity et al. I'd expect SYRIZA to poll in the mid-30s, Golden Dawn closer to 5%.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I think it is too early for predictions. after their first speeches and how people will receive them we will know how things will go.

      Delete
  2. Anonymous25/8/15 18:15

    What does SYRIZA stand for? After holding a vote that returned "OXI" on austerity, they ignored it. My bet would be SYRIZA is at best low teens. Possibly single digits if Yanis V. embraces one of the anti-austerity parties.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I hope and keep my fingers crossed that Yanis will not join Lafazanis and or Zoe Konstadopoulou who we really don't know what she is going to do.
      Varoufakis should stay out of this mess he will lose his popularity If he does join anyone against Tsipras.

      Delete
    2. SY/RI/ZA Synaspismos Rizospastikis Aristeras

      Delete
    3. Anonymous26/8/15 18:00

      Given that Yanis is describing SYRIZA's action as "surrender". We have to believe he will align with one of the anti-austeiryt/anti-SYRIZA parties. I guess he could "bow out" and not engage with any party, but that seems at odds with his personality.

      http://yanisvaroufakis.eu/2015/08/20/the-greek-plan-for-growth-recovery-two-documents-the-ministry-of-finance-tabled-in-may-and-june-2015/

      Delete
  3. First poll is bad. The second and third polls make more sense. Im not sure Popular Unity will get that much traction, especially considering the last two polls contradict the first.

    ReplyDelete
  4. First poll is bad. The second and third polls make more sense. Im not sure Popular Unity will get that much traction, especially considering the last two polls contradict the first.

    ReplyDelete
  5. SYRIZA was voted in in January with 36% ie mid thirties. I can't seem them getting anywhere near that now. Since their raison d'etre now seems to be administering MOU horror with 'clean hands' mid 20s seems more realistic. Depending on their manifesto - soon to be published - and how they handle the coming weeks, and considering the pool of angry NO voters plus realistic voters, LAE could do quite well.

    ReplyDelete
  6. Anonymous26/8/15 13:48

    http://www.nbcphiladelphia.com/news/local/Judge-Delaware-County-Courthouse-Racist-Rant-Child-Support-322353432.html

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Anonymous26/8/15 13:50

      Judge goes on racist Greek rant.

      http://www.nbcphiladelphia.com/news/local/Judge-Delaware-County-Courthouse-Racist-Rant-Child-Support-322353432.html

      Delete
  7. Anonymous27/8/15 08:22

    golden dawn over 20%...
    keep it real ...

    ReplyDelete
  8. Update (04/9):

    SYRIZA 23-25%

    Popular Unity + Plan B etc. 20-23%

    Νew Democracy 12-15%

    Golden Dawn 6-8%

    Greek Communist Party 5-5.5%

    Union of Centrists 3.5-4%

    River 2.5-3.5%

    PASOK 3-4%

    Independent Greeks 2.5-3.5%

    ReplyDelete

  9. Update (15/9): [After the second debate]

    SYRIZA 28-30%
    Popular Unity + Plan B etc. 20-23%
    Νew Democracy 11-13%
    Golden Dawn 6-8%
    Greek Communist Party 5-5.5%
    Union of Centrists 2.5-3%
    River 2.5-3.5%
    PASOK + DIMAR 3-4%
    Independent Greeks 2.5-3.5%

    ReplyDelete
  10. Thanks for sharing voting procedure with us, which is very beneficial information as user point of view about snap of elections and please keep sharing your info with us.

    Indelible Ink Suppliers | Voting Booths

    ReplyDelete

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Netanyahu Is Getting His War Between The U.S. & Iran!

The Jimmy Dore Show   Little progress is being made in negotiations between the United States and Iran over the latter’s nuclear program, and that may be by design. The U.S. is demanding a complete dismantling of Iran’s nuclear enrichment program, which is a non-starter for the Iranians. Meanwhile, the U.S. appears to have reneged on a promise to get a ceasefire and humanitarian aid into Gaza in exchange for the release of the last American hostage, so Hamas — and by extension Iran — feel the U.S. cannot be trusted in negotiations. Jimmy Dore and Americans’ Comedian Kurt Metzger discuss how Israel appears to be orchestrating a U.S. attack on Iran that few Americans have any interest in.    Related: Trump makes key move to beat Biden in their race to start a war with Iran

Trump in SHOCK: Putin & China FLIP His Grave Mistake into STUNNING Victory

Danny Haiphong   Putin & China just gave Trump a rude BRICS awakening, and this bombshell will change everything for generations to come. Geopolitical analyst Ben Norton details the truth about Trump's biggest failure against the rising power of BRICS led by Russia and China, and why the US's role as super power is now in serious question.     Related: Trump's tariffs: A unique opportunity for BRICS and the Global South to fully escape from dollar tyranny

Trump's attempt to divide Russia & China is failing, badly

Geopolitical Economy Report   Donald Trump claimed he would "un-unite" Russia and China, but the US divide-and-conquer strategy is failing. In a meeting in Moscow celebrating the 80th anniversary of their nations' victory in World War Two, Presidents Xi Jinping and Vladimir Putin reaffirmed that "China-Russia relations have reached the highest level in history" and will "jointly resist any attempts to interfere with and disrupt the traditional friendship and deep mutual trust between China and Russia". Ben Norton explains.     Related:   Why China supports Russia

Inside Iran's Savak torture museum

The Grayzone   Caution: This report contains depictions of simulated violence that may upset some viewers. Max Blumenthal tours one of the most disturbing museums on the planet. Set in Tehran's former Ebrat Prison run by the anti-sabotage unit of Shah Reza Pahlavi's Savak intelligence services, the museum is filled with shockingly graphic exhibits featuring lifelike mannequins recreating the hideous torture tactics deployed to repress dissidents rebelling against Iran's monarchy. Many mannequins on display represent notorious torturers who either fled or were executed after the Islamic revolution in 1979, while others are modeled after famous prisoners locked away in Ebrat like the current Leader of Iran, Ayatollah Khamanei.  

14,000 babies could die if aid doesn’t enter Gaza in 48 hours, UN warns

Some 14,000 babies could die in Gaza in 48 hours if aid does not reach them in time, the UN’s humanitarian chief, Tom Fletcher, told the BBC today. Though Israel said it would allow “basic aid” into Gaza, only five trucks entered the enclave yesterday, two carrying shrouds to help bury Palestinians killed in Israel’s bombs. Others were in Gaza, but were being held by occupation forces and had not reached Palestinians. This was the first delivery of aid since 2 March, when Israel completely sealed the enclave. This, Fletcher explained, is a “drop in the ocean” and totally inadequate for a population of over 2.3 million, and for which no aid has been allowed to enter for 80 days.    “Tonnes of food is blocked at the [Gaza] border” by Israel, Director General of the World Health Organisation (WHO), Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, said yesterday. This comes just weeks after the UN agency of Palestinian refugees (UNRWA) warned that hundreds of thousands of Palestinians eat only one mea...

"Kidnapped in Int'l Waters": Israel Intercepts Gaza-Bound Aid Ship, Detains Greta Thunberg & Others

Democracy Now!   Eleven peace activists and one journalist on board the Gaza Freedom Flotilla ship, the "Madleen," were detained by Israeli soldiers as their ship carrying vital humanitarian aid for starving Palestinians approached Gaza.    The ship was intercepted by Israeli forces in the middle of the night in international waters. Its supplies were seized and communications jammed. The unarmed activists will likely be transported to Israeli detention or "immediately deported," says Ann Wright, a U.S. military veteran who has participated in four Freedom Flotilla journeys and now serves on the steering committee of the Freedom Flotilla Coalition. She calls on citizens of countries around the world to push for the activists' release and an end to Israel's war on Gaza. 

Latest on Los Angeles anti-ICE protests in US

CGTN     Views of downtown Los Angeles where protests against immigration raids entered their third day on Sunday local time.   Protesters clashed with National Guard troops in downtown Los Angeles during the latest wave of demonstrations against statewide immigration enforcement operations that swept across California over the weekend.  

Never, Ever Let Anyone Forget What They Did To Gaza

by Caitlin Johnstone   I will never forget the Gaza holocaust. I will never let anyone else forget about the Gaza holocaust. No matter what happens or how this thing turns out, I will never let anyone my voice touches forget that our rulers did the most evil things imaginable right in front of us and lied to us about it the entire time. I will never stop doing everything I can with my own small platform to help ensure that the perpetrators of this mass atrocity are brought to justice. I will never stop doing everything I can to help bring down the western empire and to help free Palestine from the Zionist entity. I will never forget those shaking children. Those tiny shredded bodies. Those starved, skeletal forms. The explosions followed by screams. The atrocities followed by western media silence.   I will never forget, and I will never forgive. I will never forgive our leaders. I will never forgive the western press. I will never forgive Israel. I will never forgive the main...

They Will Starve You In A Killing Cage Too

by Nate Bear   Starvation is taking hold in Gaza. Twenty-nine people have starved to death in the last few days.  Death by starvation is horrific, the body feeding on itself, first consuming carbohydrates and fats, and then moving on to the protein parts of tissue. Once these are used up, vital organs and tissues start to fail as they aren’t being nourished by essential nutrients. The heart, lungs, muscles, ovaries, testes and brain physically shrink and shrivel. The kidneys start to fail. Eventually the body begins scavenging muscle, including the heart muscle. When this starts to happen, death is hours away, preceded by hallucinations, severe mental disturbances and convulsions. With less stored fat and higher metabolic needs, children die first. Starving parents hold their dying children, at this point nothing but skin and bone, in their arms. Adults can survive anywhere between twenty and forty days without food. Those already weak, chronically ill or immuno-compromised di...