Greek
elections
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First
predictions for the snap elections in Greece have started already.
According to the German newspaper Bild, SYRIZA appears with heavy
losses with a percentage of 28%. Close to SYRIZA is the right-Wing
New Democracy with 25% (little less than 3% lower than in previous
elections) and the new Popular Unity party that came from the split
of SYRIZA, appears to gather 8% of the votes.
All first
polls show significant losses for Alexis Tsipras and SYRIZA. In the
last few days, many members of the party have resigned and Tsipras
has to deal also with the internal crisis in his party after the
split according to the plan B
of the Brussels bureaufascists.
Most of the
early predictions give Lafazanis' Popular Unity a percentage of 7-8%,
while SYRIZA's partners in the coalition government, Independent
Greeks, struggle to reach the crucial 3% to enter the new parliament.
In any case,
the split of SYRIZA creates an even more complex political landscape
in Greece, which may lead to increasing political instability as the
differences between the various political formations appear more
difficult than ever to be covered.
This is
something that the Brussels-Berlin axis officials may exploit and
proceed in the plan C, according to which, unelected puppets like
Papademos and Monti will take the power to implement all the measures
of the Greek experiment. Their man, Governor of the Bank of Greece,
Yannis Stournaras, is waiting ...
Below, you
can check some first predictions by our blog. At this point of
course, we don't need to say that we may fall very far from the final
results. Anyway, you may freely write your own predictions in the
comments if you like.
SYRIZA
26-27%
Popular
Unity + Plan B + ANTARSYA etc. 22-23%
Νew
Democracy 14-15%
Golden
Dawn 9-10%
Greek
Communist Party 5-5.5%
Union of
Centrists 4-4.5%
River
4-4.5%
PASOK +
Movement of Democratic Socialists 3.5-4%
Independent
Greeks 2.5-3.5%
Update (29/8):
SYRIZA 23-25%
Update (04/9):
SYRIZA 23-25%
Update (11/9): [After the first debate]
SYRIZA 25-28%
Update (15/9): [After the second debate]
SYRIZA 28-30%
______________________________________________________________________________
OTHER POLLS (updated frequently) :
Update: Another secret poll:
SYRIZA 34.5%
Update: A new poll by the INTERVIEW company for Vergina TV gives:
SYRIZA 24%
Update: A new poll by the ProRata for the Newspaper of the Editors (efsyn) gives:
SYRIZA 23%
Update: Poll by the Metron Analysis for the newspaper Parapolitika gives:
SYRIZA 22.2%
Update: Poll by the University of Macedonia for skai TV gives:
SYRIZA 25%
Update: Poll by the MARC company for Alpha TV gives:
SYRIZA 25.3%
Update (29/8):
SYRIZA 23-25%
Popular
Unity + Plan B etc. 20-23%
Νew
Democracy 12-15%
Golden
Dawn 6-8%
Greek
Communist Party 5-5.5%
Union of
Centrists 4-4.5%
River
4-4,5%
PASOK 3-4%
Independent
Greeks 2.5-3.5%Update (04/9):
SYRIZA 23-25%
Popular
Unity + Plan B etc. 20-23%
Νew
Democracy 12-15%
Golden
Dawn 6-8%
Greek
Communist Party 5-5.5%
Union of
Centrists 3.5-4%
River
2.5-3.5%
PASOK 3-4%
Independent
Greeks 2.5-3.5%Update (11/9): [After the first debate]
SYRIZA 25-28%
Popular
Unity + Plan B etc. 20-23%
Νew
Democracy 11-13%
Golden
Dawn 6-8%
Greek
Communist Party 5-5.5%
Union of
Centrists 3.5-4%
River
2.5-3.5%
PASOK + DIMAR 3-4%
Independent
Greeks 2.5-3.5%Update (15/9): [After the second debate]
SYRIZA 28-30%
Popular
Unity + Plan B etc. 20-23%
Νew
Democracy 11-13%
Golden
Dawn 6-8%
Greek
Communist Party 5-5.5%
Union of
Centrists 2.5-3%
River
2.5-3.5%
PASOK + DIMAR 3-4%
Independent
Greeks 2.5-3.5%______________________________________________________________________________
OTHER POLLS (updated frequently) :
Update: Another secret poll:
SYRIZA 34.5%
Popular
Unity + Plan B + ANTARSYA etc. 6%
Νew
Democracy 23.1%
Golden
Dawn 5.9%
Greek
Communist Party 4.7%
River
4.8%
PASOK 2.8%
Independent
Greeks 3.1% [Source: http://olympia.gr/]Update: A new poll by the INTERVIEW company for Vergina TV gives:
SYRIZA 24%
Popular
Unity + Plan B + ANTARSYA etc. 4.5%
Νew
Democracy 22%
Golden
Dawn 6%
Greek
Communist Party 4.5%
Union of Centrists 4%
Union of Centrists 4%
River 5.5%
PASOK 4.5%
Independent
Greeks 3.5% [Source: http://www.newsbomb.gr/]Update: A new poll by the ProRata for the Newspaper of the Editors (efsyn) gives:
SYRIZA 23%
Popular
Unity + Plan B + ANTARSYA etc. 3.5%
Νew
Democracy 19.5%
Golden
Dawn 6.5%
Greek
Communist Party 5%
River 4%
River 4%
PASOK 4.5%
undecided / didn't answer 25.5% [Source: http://www.efsyn.gr/]Update: Poll by the Metron Analysis for the newspaper Parapolitika gives:
SYRIZA 22.2%
Popular
Unity + Plan B + ANTARSYA etc. 3.1%
Νew
Democracy 21.2%
Golden
Dawn 6.4%
Greek
Communist Party 5%
Union of Centrists 3.8%
River 4.5%
Union of Centrists 3.8%
River 4.5%
PASOK 4.1%
Independent Greeks 1.7%
Unidentified vote 11.2% [Source: http://tvxs.gr/]Independent Greeks 1.7%
Update: Poll by the University of Macedonia for skai TV gives:
SYRIZA 25%
Popular
Unity + Plan B + ANTARSYA etc. 5%
Νew
Democracy 22%
Golden
Dawn 5.5%
Greek
Communist Party 6%
Union of Centrists 4.5%
River 6%
Union of Centrists 4.5%
River 6%
PASOK 4.5%
Independent Greeks 2%
Other 5%
undecided / didn't answer 14.5% [Source: http://www.skai.gr/]Independent Greeks 2%
Other 5%
Update: Poll by the MARC company for Alpha TV gives:
SYRIZA 25.3%
Popular
Unity + Plan B + ANTARSYA etc. 3.8%
Νew
Democracy 23.2%
Golden
Dawn 5.5%
Greek
Communist Party 4.2%
Union of Centrists 3.8%
River 5.8%
Union of Centrists 3.8%
River 5.8%
PASOK 4.4%
Independent Greeks 3%
Unidentified vote 18.8% [Source: http://www.sportdog.gr/]
Update: Poll by the think tank Bridging Europe gives:
SYRIZA 26.8%
Independent Greeks 3%
Unidentified vote 18.8% [Source: http://www.sportdog.gr/]
Update: Poll by the think tank Bridging Europe gives:
SYRIZA 26.8%
Popular
Unity + Plan B + ANTARSYA etc. 6.1%
Νew
Democracy 18.3%
Golden
Dawn 5.9%
Greek
Communist Party 5.8%
Union of Centrists 2.6%
River 6.2%
Union of Centrists 2.6%
River 6.2%
PASOK 2.9%
Independent Greeks 2.4%
Independent Greeks 2.4%
Other 3.2%
undecided / didn't answer 19.8%
[Source: http://www.bridgingeurope.net/]
Update: Poll by the MRB for the newspaper Agora gives:
SYRIZA 24.6%
Other 4.1%
Unidentified vote 16.9% [Source: http://tvxs.gr/]
Update: Poll by the Pulse RC for the newspaper To Pontiki gives:
SYRIZA 25.5%
Other 2%
undecided / didn't answer 10.5% [Source: http://news247.gr/]
Update: Poll by Metron Analysis for the newspaper Parapolitika gives:
SYRIZA 23.4%
Unidentified vote 11.3% [Source: http://tvxs.gr/]
Update: New Poll by the think tank Bridging Europe gives:
SYRIZA 26.9%
Independent Greeks 2%
Update: Poll by the MRB for the newspaper Agora gives:
SYRIZA 24.6%
Popular
Unity + Plan B etc. 4.2%
Νew
Democracy 22.8%
Golden
Dawn 6.2%
Greek
Communist Party 4.7%
Union of
Centrists 4.7%
River 5.6%
PASOK 3.9%
Independent
Greeks 2.3%Other 4.1%
Unidentified vote 16.9% [Source: http://tvxs.gr/]
Update: Poll by the Pulse RC for the newspaper To Pontiki gives:
SYRIZA 25.5%
Popular
Unity + Plan B etc. 4.5%
Νew
Democracy 25%
Golden
Dawn 6%
Greek
Communist Party 5%
Union of
Centrists 3.5%
River 5%
PASOK 5.5%
Independent
Greeks 2.5%Other 2%
undecided / didn't answer 10.5% [Source: http://news247.gr/]
Update: Poll by Metron Analysis for the newspaper Parapolitika gives:
SYRIZA 23.4%
Popular
Unity + Plan B etc. 3.4%
Νew
Democracy 24%
Golden
Dawn 5.1%
Greek
Communist Party 5.2%
Union of
Centrists 4%
River 4.8%
PASOK 4%
Independent
Greeks 2%Unidentified vote 11.3% [Source: http://tvxs.gr/]
Update: New Poll by the think tank Bridging Europe gives:
SYRIZA 26.9%
Popular
Unity + Plan B etc. 6.2%
Νew
Democracy 19.8%
Golden
Dawn 6.1%
Greek
Communist Party 5.6%
Union of Centrists 2.4%
River 5.9%
PASOK 3.1%Union of Centrists 2.4%
River 5.9%
Independent Greeks 2%
Other 4.6%
undecided / didn't answer 17.4% [Source:http://www.bridgingeurope.net/]
Update: Poll by MRB for Star Channel gives:
SYRIZA 25.1%
Update: Poll by newsit.gr + Alco gives:
SYRIZA 24.8%
Independent Greeks 2.2%
Update: Poll by MRB for Star Channel gives:
SYRIZA 25.1%
Popular
Unity + Plan B etc. 3.6%
Νew
Democracy 25.1%
Golden
Dawn 6%
Greek
Communist Party 5%
Union of Centrists 3.9%
River 4.6%
Union of Centrists 3.9%
River 4.6%
PASOK 5.2%
Independent Greeks 2.3%
Other 4%
Unidentified vote 15% [Source: http://tvxs.gr/]Independent Greeks 2.3%
Other 4%
Update: Poll by newsit.gr + Alco gives:
SYRIZA 24.8%
Popular
Unity + Plan B etc. 4.2%
Νew
Democracy 24.4%
Golden
Dawn 6.6%
Greek
Communist Party 5.9%
Union of Centrists 3.9%
River 4.7%
PASOK 4.5%Union of Centrists 3.9%
River 4.7%
Independent Greeks 2.2%
Other 3.8%
undecided 15% [Source: http://www.newsit.gr/]
Update: Poll by Pulse for bankingnews.gr gives:
SYRIZA 27%
Update: Poll by ProRata for the Newspaper of the Editors (efsyn) gives:
SYRIZA 28.5%
Update: Poll by Metron Analysis for the TV channel ANT1 gives:
SYRIZA 24.6%
Update: Poll by Pulse for bankingnews.gr gives:
SYRIZA 27%
Popular
Unity + Plan B + ANTARSYA etc. 4%
Νew
Democracy 26.5%
Golden
Dawn 6.5%
Greek
Communist Party 5.5%
Union of Centrists 4%
River 5.5%
Union of Centrists 4%
River 5.5%
PASOK-DIMAR 6%
Independent Greeks 2.5%
ANTARSYA 1%
Other 1.5%
undecided / didn't answer 10% [Source: http://bankingnews.gr/]Independent Greeks 2.5%
ANTARSYA 1%
Other 1.5%
Update: Poll by ProRata for the Newspaper of the Editors (efsyn) gives:
SYRIZA 28.5%
Popular
Unity + Plan B + ANTARSYA etc. 2.5%
Νew
Democracy 23.5%
Golden
Dawn 6.5%
Greek
Communist Party 4.5%
Union of Centrists 3.5%
River 4%
Union of Centrists 3.5%
River 4%
PASOK 4.5%
Independent Greeks 2.5%
Other 2.5%
undecided / didn't answer 17.5% [Source: http://tvxs.gr/]Independent Greeks 2.5%
Other 2.5%
Update: Poll by Metron Analysis for the TV channel ANT1 gives:
SYRIZA 24.6%
Popular
Unity + Plan B etc. 3%
Νew
Democracy 24.6%
Golden
Dawn 5.6%
Greek
Communist Party 4.8%
Union of Centrists 3%
River 4.6%
Union of Centrists 3%
River 4.6%
that seems overly optimistic on Popular Unity et al. I'd expect SYRIZA to poll in the mid-30s, Golden Dawn closer to 5%.
ReplyDeleteI think it is too early for predictions. after their first speeches and how people will receive them we will know how things will go.
DeleteWhat does SYRIZA stand for? After holding a vote that returned "OXI" on austerity, they ignored it. My bet would be SYRIZA is at best low teens. Possibly single digits if Yanis V. embraces one of the anti-austerity parties.
ReplyDeleteI hope and keep my fingers crossed that Yanis will not join Lafazanis and or Zoe Konstadopoulou who we really don't know what she is going to do.
DeleteVaroufakis should stay out of this mess he will lose his popularity If he does join anyone against Tsipras.
SY/RI/ZA Synaspismos Rizospastikis Aristeras
DeleteGiven that Yanis is describing SYRIZA's action as "surrender". We have to believe he will align with one of the anti-austeiryt/anti-SYRIZA parties. I guess he could "bow out" and not engage with any party, but that seems at odds with his personality.
Deletehttp://yanisvaroufakis.eu/2015/08/20/the-greek-plan-for-growth-recovery-two-documents-the-ministry-of-finance-tabled-in-may-and-june-2015/
First poll is bad. The second and third polls make more sense. Im not sure Popular Unity will get that much traction, especially considering the last two polls contradict the first.
ReplyDeleteFirst poll is bad. The second and third polls make more sense. Im not sure Popular Unity will get that much traction, especially considering the last two polls contradict the first.
ReplyDeletetest2
ReplyDeleteSYRIZA was voted in in January with 36% ie mid thirties. I can't seem them getting anywhere near that now. Since their raison d'etre now seems to be administering MOU horror with 'clean hands' mid 20s seems more realistic. Depending on their manifesto - soon to be published - and how they handle the coming weeks, and considering the pool of angry NO voters plus realistic voters, LAE could do quite well.
ReplyDeletehttp://www.nbcphiladelphia.com/news/local/Judge-Delaware-County-Courthouse-Racist-Rant-Child-Support-322353432.html
ReplyDeleteJudge goes on racist Greek rant.
Deletehttp://www.nbcphiladelphia.com/news/local/Judge-Delaware-County-Courthouse-Racist-Rant-Child-Support-322353432.html
golden dawn over 20%...
ReplyDeletekeep it real ...
Update (04/9):
ReplyDeleteSYRIZA 23-25%
Popular Unity + Plan B etc. 20-23%
Νew Democracy 12-15%
Golden Dawn 6-8%
Greek Communist Party 5-5.5%
Union of Centrists 3.5-4%
River 2.5-3.5%
PASOK 3-4%
Independent Greeks 2.5-3.5%
ReplyDeleteUpdate (15/9): [After the second debate]
SYRIZA 28-30%
Popular Unity + Plan B etc. 20-23%
Νew Democracy 11-13%
Golden Dawn 6-8%
Greek Communist Party 5-5.5%
Union of Centrists 2.5-3%
River 2.5-3.5%
PASOK + DIMAR 3-4%
Independent Greeks 2.5-3.5%
Thanks for sharing voting procedure with us, which is very beneficial information as user point of view about snap of elections and please keep sharing your info with us.
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