Skip to main content

A new big storm is coming - It's not too late - Grexit now!


All signs show now that a new, big financial storm is about to erupt on the Frankenstein's creation called eurozone. It seems that the German monsterbank is about to collapse, breaking this "marvelous" euro architecture into pieces.


With rumors flying because of DB [Deutsche Bank] ’s stock performance this year, management issued a statement defending the bank’s liquidity position [...] Suffice it to say that historically, when a bank has been forced to issue a statement defending its solvency, insolvency is not far behind. We saw this with Bear Stearns and Lehman. Denial of a catastrophic problem is affirmation that the problem is very real.

Typically the credit markets sniff out a very real problem before the equity market “catches up.” Deutsche Bank has emerged as one of the most recklessly managed “Too Big To Fail” banks. Under Anshu Jain’s “leadership,” DB became a financial nuclear weapon bloated on derivatives, exceedingly risky assets and highly corrupt upper management. It’s a literal cesspool of financial fraud and Ponzi scheme banking activity.

[...]

Currently DB has roughly $2 trillion assets supported by $68 billion of book value. The problem is that many of its assets are highly overstated in value and have yet to be written down. The financial world shuddered at the $7 billion of admitted write-offs DB took in 2015. The problem is that over 85% of the charges taken by DB were attributed to legal costs. We know its “on-balance-sheet” assets are being reported at a significantly overvalued stated level. DB has big loans to the energy sector, Glencore, Volkswagon/Audi and other sundry highly risky businesses. It would only take a 3.5% write-down of its asset base to wipe out its book value.

THEN there’s the derivatives. DB has $58 trillion of notional amount in OTC derivatives hidden off its balance sheet. The bank will claims most of that is hedged out and the “netted” amount is a sliver of the notional amount. But ask AIG and Goldman Sachs how hedging / netting works out in the long run. “Netting” is only relevant when counterparties are prevented by Central Banks from defaulting. Once the defaults start, “net” becomes “notional” in a hurry.

[...]

The current era’s first big bank casualty will likely be Deutsche Bank, unless the German Government and the EU and U.S. Central Banks determine that a DB collapse would collapse the west, which it likely would. To put this in perspective, DB’s stated assets are $2 trillion. Germany’s GDP is just under $4 trillion. Then there’s the derivatives…

According to other estimations, the expose of the bank to derivatives, is even higher. As mentioned in previous article : “Only Deutsche Bank, the largest bank in Germany, is significantly exposed, holding dubious financial products known as 'derivatives', worth 67 trillion euros. This amount is similar to the GDP of the entire world and 20 times greater than the GDP of Germany. Any comparison with the situation of the bank Lehman Brothers in 2008 would not be irrelevant. Just when Lehman Brothers went bankrupt, had available derivatives of only 31.5 trillion. The crisis of 2008 confirmed the concise definition of derivatives as proposed by the American tycoon Warren Buffet: 'financial weapons of mass destruction.'

It is quite clear that the euro-system could collapse any moment and not because of the usual scapegoat called Greece. Considering that the expose of the German monsterbank to derivatives is higher compared to that of Lehman, we can only imagine what the bubble burst would bring. In reality, however, no one has an idea of what the day after would look like, due to the unprecedented euro-currency experiment.

In reality, Berlin does not want to destroy eurozone because the euro-currency is the tool to impose the Greek model to all the debt colonies. But that doesn't mean it can prevent a disaster which might lead to an ugly ending of this currency. It is almost certain that the Germans and others have ready plans to return to the national currency.

In case that the German monster fall to the ground, everyone will run for their lives. Greece will be left in the worst position, as it is now totally dependent on Draghi's liquidity injections, after five years of a systematic economic destruction by the EFD-IMF axis.

Unfortunately, Tsipras administration has been proved unreliable to design a viable Grexit option. But now, Greece has the last chance to design such an option, in order to limit the terrifying, unpredictable consequences of the ugly collapse. There is a little time left for Grexit, which could be proved the lifeboat that would help Greece survive from the sinking of the Titanic.

Comments

  1. for a Greek like Ulixes it could be possible, but for the Greeks nowadays...I do not know!

    ReplyDelete
  2. for a Greek like Ulixes it could be possible, but for the Greeks nowadays...I do not know!

    ReplyDelete

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Gaza 2 Years On: Yanis Varoufakis & Katie Halper on the Flotilla, Israel's PR Machine & What’s Next

DiEM25   Two years since October 7, Katie Halper (‪@TheKatieHalperShow‬) and Yanis Varoufakis join host Mehran Khalili to break down Israel’s genocide in Gaza, the latest on the flotilla, Israel’s influencer PR push, and the “peace plan”.  

Capitalism & Genocide - Yanis Varoufakis Speech at the Gaza Tribunal, 23rd October 2025, Istanbul

Yanis Varoufakis   On 23rd October, Yanis Varoufakis testified in front of the Jury of Conscience in the context of the Gaza Tribunal. His speech focused on the economic forces underpinning the genocide of the Palestinian people. In particular, he spoke on the manner in which capitalist dynamics have historically fuelled the white settler colonial project and, more recently, how the accumulation of a new form of capital - which he calls cloud capital - has accelerated, deepened and amplified the economic forces powering and propelling the machinery of genocide. 

The Rise of the Thielverse & the Surveillance State

The Chris Hedges YouTube Channel  Whitney Webb traces the Thielverse’s rise and the construction of the bipartisan modern surveillance state that Trump and his benefactors are deploying against dissidents and immigrants today.

World leaders rebel against US & Israel: to save Gaza, they demand international intervention

Geopolitical Economy Report   Leaders from dozens of countries condemned the USA and Israel in their speeches at the UN General Assembly, demanding international intervention to save Gaza. Diplomats staged a mass walkout to protest Netanyahu's speech. Ben Norton shows how Latin American governments are standing in solidarity with Palestine.  

Freedom Flotilla Coalition & Thousand Madleens to Gaza sailing to break the siege

Freedom Flotilla Coalition   The next wave is already being prepared, help us buy the boats and get them ready to sail!  

Προβλέψεις ...

GR elections Update (15/9): Αναθεωρημένες προβλέψεις (μετά το δεύτερο debate): ΣΥΡΙΖΑ 28-30% ΛΑΕ + ΣΧΕΔΙΟ Β' κ.λ.π. 20-23% ΝΔ 11-13% ΧΑ 6-8% ΚΚΕ 5-5,5% ΕΝΩΣΗ ΚΕΝΤΡΩΩΝ 2,5-3% ΠΟΤΑΜΙ 2,5-3,5% ΠΑΣΟΚ + ΔΗΜΑΡ 3-4% ΑΝΕΛ 2,5-3,5% Update (11/9): Αναθεωρημένες προβλέψεις (μετά το πρώτο debate): ΣΥΡΙΖΑ 25-28% ΛΑΕ + ΣΧΕΔΙΟ Β' κ.λ.π. 20-23% ΝΔ 11-13% ΧΑ 6-8% ΚΚΕ 5-5,5% ΕΝΩΣΗ ΚΕΝΤΡΩΩΝ 3,5-4% ΠΟΤΑΜΙ 2,5-3,5% ΠΑΣΟΚ + ΔΗΜΑΡ 3-4% ΑΝΕΛ 2,5-3,5% Update (04/9): Αναθεωρημένες προβλέψεις: ΣΥΡΙΖΑ 23-25% ΛΑΕ + ΣΧΕΔΙΟ Β' κ.λ.π. 20-23% ΝΔ 12-15% ΧΑ 6-8% ΚΚΕ 5-5,5% ΕΝΩΣΗ ΚΕΝΤΡΩΩΝ 3,5-4% ΠΟΤΑΜΙ 2,5-3,5% ΠΑΣΟΚ 3-4% ΑΝΕΛ 2,5-3,5% Update (29/8): Αναθεωρημένες προβλέψεις: ΣΥΡΙΖΑ 23-25% ΛΑΕ + ΣΧΕΔΙΟ Β' κ.λ.π. 20-23% ΝΔ 12-15% ΧΑ 6-8% ΚΚΕ 5-5,5% ΕΝΩΣΗ ΚΕΝΤΡΩΩΝ 4-4,5% ΠΟΤΑΜΙ 4-4,5% ΠΑΣΟΚ 3-4% ΑΝΕΛ 2,5-3,5% Update : Αναθεωρημένες προβλέψεις: ΣΥΡΙΖΑ 26-27% ...

A response to misinformation on Nicaragua: it was a coup, not a ‘massacre’

There is so much misinformation in mainstream corporate media about recent events in Nicaragua that it is a pity that Mary Ellsberg’s article for Pulse has added to it with a seemingly leftish critique. Ellsberg claims that recent articles, including from this website, often “ paint a picture of the crisis in Nicaragua that is dangerously misleading. ” Unfortunately, her own article does just that. It looks at the situation entirely from the perspective of those opposing Daniel Ortega’s government while whitewashing their malevolent behavior and downplaying the levels of US support they have relied on. Her piece is an incomplete depiction of what is happening on the ground, ignoring many salient facts that have come to light and which have been outdated by recent events. The following is a brief response to Ellsberg’s main points from someone who lives in Nicaragua and has observed the situation directly and intimately: https://grayzoneproject.com/2018/08/15/a-res...

The REAL reason why Trump is attacking Latin America

Geopolitical Economy Report   The Donald Trump administration seeks to forcibly impose the US empire's hegemony in Latin America, waging war on Venezuela, imposing sanctions on Colombia's President Gustavo Petro, hitting Brazil with tariffs, and meddling in Argentina's election. Ben Norton explains how Trump and Marco Rubio are trying to cut off all western hemisphere ties with China and Russia, bringing back the colonial Monroe Doctrine, now known as the Donroe Doctrine.   

Greta Thunberg Blasts Israel, 'Complicit' World Leaders After Release From Israeli Jail

DRM News   Greta Thunberg delivered a fiery speech in Athens after her release from Israeli detention, calling Israel’s Gaza actions a “live-streamed genocide” and urging governments to “end complicity and arms transfers.” Speaking to thousands, she condemned global silence and vowed to keep fighting for Palestine through the Global Sumud Flotilla. Greta Thunberg and 27 Greek nationals arrive in Athens following their deportation from Israel after the Global Sumud Flotilla's interception en route to Gaza. Hear accounts of detention, aid blockade challenges, and calls for justice.   

How Western media helped build and then protect the Israeli narrative that allowed a genocide to continue

globinfo freexchange    For two years, Palestinians in Gaza have been killed in 4K on all of our screens. And for those same two years, many of the Western media institutions meant to hold power to account chose silence, distortion and doubt. Newsrooms repeated Israel's allegations with no pushback, ignored the evidence of genocide even as it played out live. This isn't a story about bias or mistakes. It's a story about how Western media helped build and then protect the Israeli narrative that allowed a genocide to continue.  So, how many Palestinian lives have been lost because the world's news outlets chose to repeat Israel's narrative instead of questioning it?    From the earliest days following October 7th, Israel's talking points were treated as fact. The now disproven claims of 40 beheaded babies and the story that Hamas used Palestinian civilians as human shields revived with every bombing of a hospital or school despite the mountain of evidence that it...